Clouds brewing world, Sino-US differences in profusion, the Obama campaign smug as you can? Agence France-Presse
[Core Tips]
A year ago on Jan. 20, Obama boarded the U.S. presidency, newspaper special report on “Ten Questions Obama” – why is he? Who is he? He will China friendly? … …
One year later, the Sino-US relations are undergoing a new change in the situation – the South China Sea confrontation, arms sales, trade protection … …
Sino-US relations in 2010 will be an important year in history, will exacerbate the conflict? Cooperation can be in-depth? Are specially invited to the United States and Singapore, China scholar, “asked Obama,” and an exclusive interview with U.S. Ambassador Jon Huntsman. While many American experts to answer did not “pleasant”, but perhaps that is Obama the answer to future relations with China.
[Of] “International Herald Tribune” reporter in the win-nan Liu Jun from Beijing
It is foreseeable that the United States will continue to provide security assistance to Taiwan, including weapons and equipment.
Obama met with the Dalai Lama is essentially a foregone conclusion, but would be more high profile, meet more openly.
China, the United States will not fully engage in all the merchandise trade protection, such protection will be done selectively.
[Interviewee] Glaser (Bonnie Glaser)
U.S. Strategic and International Studies Research Center for Strategy
Fengde Wei (David Finkelstein) analysis center in Asia and China U.S. Navy research project director
Gan Side (Scott Kennedy) Indiana University Research Center for Chinese Politics and Business Director
Liming Jiang Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies Associate Professor
Obama will be a sell F-16 fighters to Taiwan?
Midnight on January 6 this year, the U.S. government announced that Lockheed – Martin for Taiwan, including 253 “Patriot” missiles -3, 5 test missiles, including 968 million U.S. dollars in arms orders.
Glaser: Back in April 2001, the sales program was approved by President Bush, but never was sent to Congress. Obama may be in the last few weeks, the latest implementation of this plan in the next few months. Maybe your readers have not realized, but the People’s Liberation Army has established a strong Taiwan military capabilities, making Taiwan feel insecure. Taiwan to buy weapons to the United States, not the United States arms sales requests. Taiwan “president” Ma Ying-jeou in Taiwan to blame, because he turned its attention to mainland China to Taiwan and not the most important partners – the United States sufficient attention. This does not include offensive weapons, arms procurement, will help to improve his position in Taiwan, I dare say, this is consistent with Beijing’s interests.
United States does not want to split across the Taiwan Strait, in fact, U.S. officials made it clear before, they support the Taiwan Strait tension has slowed down, and that cross-strait relations can be further improved. However, according to the United States “and the Taiwan Relations Act”, the United States need to provide defensive weapons to Taiwan. Taiwan now wants to buy advanced fighter planes, because of its fighter fleet has been very out of date. It is foreseeable that the United States will continue to provide security assistance to Taiwan’s request, including weapons and equipment. Therefore, it is time to make a decision in Beijing.
Ping Dewei: First of all, I am not a U.S. official, my opinion on my personal views. Let me provide some background on arms sales. Leaving aside the United States “and the Taiwan Relations Act” requirement does not say that the U.S. arms sales to Taiwan on a regular basis for two reasons. First, given the mainland’s growing military capabilities, the United States must meet Taiwan’s defense needs. However, the policy of the mainland, although the official attitude was inclined to peaceful reunification, but did not undertake to renounce the use of force as the common choice. Second, as some people have argued, a country with decent defensive capabilities of Taiwan, will become a politically more confident in Taiwan, making Taiwan the mainland are more willing to participate in the political aspects of the expedient development of a mutually agreed measure, so that the process would not be under extreme pressure and delays in carrying out the threat.
Second, the United States will continue to gain a foothold in the South China Sea it?
Last year in March and May, China-US naval confrontation in the South China Sea, the U.S. has not stopped sending ships naval intelligence spying on China.
Glaser: 2009 triggered the so-called conflict because the sea is from China and the U.S. “the United Nations Convention on Law of the Sea,” the different interpretations. United States, and most of the world on the understanding that the military activities of a country in the high seas and exclusive economic zone within 200 nautical miles, but not within the territorial sea of 12 nautical miles inside. China’s explanation is that military activities in the exclusive economic zone is prohibited, unless the State granted permission. Change the two countries, “the United Nations Convention on Law of the Sea” position seems unlikely, so the two must be careful to avoid accidents, it will bring very negative consequences, affecting the overall bilateral relations. It should be noted that in the U.S. position on this issue has been consistent – not hypocritical. Last year, when the Russian submarine in the U.S. exclusive economic zone maritime patrol the coast, the United States did not protest.
Ping Dewei: South China Sea is likely to continue to be an anxious question the Asia-Pacific region. This is largely because the competing claims on the South China Sea countries, such as Vietnam, the Philippines, China and other countries can not reach a final agreement. These are basically the issue of sovereignty (always a sensitive issue), also includes resources and the world’s busiest shipping lanes in the free navigation of the power struggle. Thus, in the next period of time, the South China Sea disputes will continue to keep.
3 Obama will continue to trade with China holding a big stick to protect it?
From the tires safeguard, to the right impose punitive tariffs on Chinese steel pipe, since last year, the United States continue to expand trade protectionism, China offensive.
Glaser: protectionism is not the answer, it hurts everyone. Tariffs if the United States is strong, China or other countries violated WTO rules, these cases can be referred to the WTO, there is the best place of arbitration. I hope that, in 2010, our two countries will implement a more liberal trade.
Gan Side: In the past few years, the United States have adopted various policies to promote domestic industrial development, and makes foreign goods in the domestic market more difficult. I believe the financial crisis and the political influence of industry, this year the two countries will continue this pattern of trade. American companies are seeking protection, but the overall level of trade the two countries compared to only a small overall increase in part to protect.
Liming Jiang: This year, the United States on all Chinese goods will not be fully engaged in such protection, there is a choice, like last year’s tires safeguard, this year agreed to impose new steel tariffs, which are influential in U.S. politics industry, so the Obama administration to deal with this domestic pressure, would do such selective protection.
4 Obama Meets Dalai it?
To avoid angering China, and Obama did not meet in the fall of 2009, the Dalai Lama.
Glaser: last November, when President Obama and President Hu Jintao met in Beijing, he told President Hu that he intends to meet with the Dalai Lama’s plan. So, yes, Obama met with the Dalai Lama is in the affirmative. Obama has said publicly that he would be in China, respect China’s sovereignty over Tibet, Tibet’s instability prompted the U.S. is not interested, this is not the reason the U.S. President met with the Dalai Lama for decades, each of the next U.S. president will be met with up to Dalai Lama.
Liming Jiang: the possibility is very great. The reason is because last year, Obama to postpone the visit, he feared the visit would visit before the meeting with the Dalai Lama’s political atmosphere adversely affected. But now, he obviously had no such timidity and fear, and his criticism of the United States great, met with the Dalai Lama can reverse this situation. In fact, when he refused to meet with the Dalai Lama last year when I had said, not seen does not mean the next gone, so he was already hinted that it would have to meet the Dalai Lama, met with the Dalai Lama earlier this year is basically a foregone conclusion, but also Comparison of high-profile, more openly to the audience.
Five U.S. will continue to pressure the yuan appreciation of it?
2 more than 1 trillion U.S. dollars in China’s foreign exchange reserves, is the largest holder of U.S. Treasury bonds, but since last year, the weak dollar, rising trade protectionism, increasing pressure on RMB appreciation, directly affecting China’s exports.
Gan Side: the appreciation of the yuan of China’s economic growth is too fast over the past few years due, in July 2005 to June 2008, we experienced some appreciation, the July 2008, the RMB against other major currencies began to depreciate sharply, However, the reasons for China policy, the dollar was not affected. If China does not deal with this problem, the threat of inflation will be even worse. China needs to revalue the yuan, which is good for the Chinese economy, rather than help the United States or other countries busy.
Liming Jiang: depreciation of the dollar, China’s bond assets will be devalued, this is certain, no doubt. Although the depreciation of the dollar, but the U.S. government can not let their currency plummeted. But this depends on the next few months or a year later, the United States is able to improve economic conditions.
6 mid-term elections approach, Barack Obama will play the China card Rights defeating it?
As the rising domestic unemployment and other reasons, when compared with the office, declining support for Obama, the face of the upcoming mid-term elections, Obama can imagine how great the pressure.
Glaser: I do not think the pressure will lead the United States President Barack Obama change China’s human rights policy. And his predecessors, Obama is more inclined to a non-confrontational way to discuss human rights in China. He prefers dialogue, this year, the United States plans to hold a new round of dialogue on human rights issues, this would be the best platform to discuss their differences.
Liming Jiang: unlikely. Issue of human rights, Obama will be established soon after the formal power of his tone – and more inclined to communicate in private, his team also shared this view, this visit from Hillary and others can be seen talking about the human rights . Obama knew that if too much emphasis on human rights issues, the overall situation of Sino-US cooperation on the whole is a very destructive.
7 the United States will open the free exercise of Chinese tourists do?
Tourism from the 2008 Sino-US agreements signed so far, the United States by the Chinese tourist destination has been ranked sixth.
Liming Jiang: less likely. U.S. immigration policy in this regard are still many concerns. And after that the free exercise, once open, will be hard to manage. They may be a lot of unexpected problems. I think this tour will continue for some time travel, and then gradually release.
Eight U.S. and North Korea established diplomatic relations it?
Since the second half of 2009 continued warming of relations between U.S. and North Korea: North Korea release of two American journalists; Obama wrote a letter to Kim Jong Il proposed moving in the establishment of liaison offices; January 1 this year, North Korea three newspapers a joint New Year editorial that the DPRK side hoped the new year end hostile relations with the United States.
Glaser: US-DPRK diplomatic relations still have a long way to go, this will not happen overnight or within a year. It also contains a lot of basic work to do. The first step is to return to the six-party talks on North Korea and pledged to eliminate nuclear weapons. Later, these commitments must be fulfilled. Nuclear weapons program must be canceled, re-processing of nuclear materials and nuclear weapons must be removed from the country. Only when the North Korean denuclearization, the order to establish normal relations with the United States. United States to realize the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula, works closely, there are still more work to do. Is the critical year 2010. If no progress this year, then the possession of weapons of North Korea will be the ability – in missiles with nuclear warheads, intercontinental ballistic missiles by then may be launched into the world any target.
Gan Side: the possibility of zero, because North Korea to become partners in the international community is very sincere desire.
9 United Nations Climate Conference in December 2010 moved to Mexico, the United States will give it?
Late last year, due to lack of cooperation the United States and other developed countries, the Copenhagen Climate Conference failed to reach any substantive agreement.
Glaser: Do you think that China will make concessions when it? Why all the questions asked are the United States do? By the way, America is not the only country in the world, China is the largest emitter of greenhouse gases. All countries – big countries, emerging economies, developing countries – should bear a corresponding responsibility, together to stop global warming and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. For Obama, he is difficult to convince the Senate to take significant steps to reduce emissions unless China agreed to its goal, the two countries need to work together.
Gan Side: In order to reach an agreement, developed countries and major developing countries should abide by international on emissions, financial and technical assistance, transparency of the binding commitment, which requires sufficient political power of multi-cooperation. The United States, the most important step is a bill passed by Congress, and to develop the carbon emissions of the new law.
10 United States will launch a third war in Yemen it?
Afghanistan, Iraq, withdraw from the battlefield hopeless, the United States is facing a new terrorist threat – on Christmas Eve last year, the United States by the Yemeni over staged a “base” organization planning the event attempted bombing machine.
Glaser: The United States is not likely to send troops to Yemen. U.S. terrorist attacks and attempted attacks is the goal, the U.S. president must do his best to protect his country. I believe that China can do that.
Liming Jiang: unlikely. First, the capacity of the United States under severe constraints, and then launch a war, a U.S. do have difficulties in strength. On the other hand, U.S. allies will not support it so generously. If you send troops to Yemen, then the more terrorism will become more anti-terror, because this would further intensify the contradiction between the U.S. and the Muslim society. This long-term task for the United States against terrorism is not a good thing. Perhaps the United States will cooperate with the Government of Yemen to meet the new terrorist threat, or take a more covert activities to fight in Yemen, some of the “base” organization, the use of force are very less.
In Jon Huntsman, future any important global issues, all depends on the United States and China. Reporter Liu Jun / photo
2010 US-China relationship is the most important year in the history of
- Exclusive Interview with U.S. Ambassador Jon Huntsman
Obama should have to go to Beijing alley, try the roadside stalls selling meat pie
Any important global issues, in fact depends on the United States and China
What we really need is each other have a better understanding of the system
“International Herald Tribune” reporter Liu Jun, Sheng-Nan from Beijing in the winter of 2009, a black bullet-proof cars in the streets of Beijing gallop, sitting in the car Jon Huntsman had a dream feeling.
“I never thought would come here, he never thought would come here, and we are still talking along the way US-China relations.” Huntsman described as “he” is Barack Obama, Beijing is the first U.S. president China the second leg. “This is all so that we sigh, no matter the environment, or a person’s situation, the original can be so volatile.”
Obama did not think black can be president, Jon Huntsman did not think the Democrats would appoint Republicans to do ambassador.
When this came across the party’s nomination, Washington’s diplomatic community, boiling, and no one can not believe this is true. Jon Huntsman is not a China expert, not a character of Sino-US diplomatic circles, or even the Obama campaign contributor – McCain and Obama in the presidential campaign, Huntsman served as a McCain campaign co-chair of the Committee.
Later, the voice of doubt gradually replaced by another voice – this is Barack Obama and Jon Huntsman claim to be a win-win situation. Obama is, you can advance, “kill” in 2012 re-election rival, Republican Party lost the election, Huntsman could make the Republican Party has become a rallying heavyweight star; on Jon Huntsman, we can use Ambassador to resume “gold plating”, election 2016 Republican presidential candidate.
But when I saw Jon Huntsman, but he did not feel strong as a political star gas field. The afternoon of January 18, Beijing 17 Guanghua Road, the Ambassador’s residence, not Qianhuhouyong’s bodyguards and entourage, Jon Huntsman alone, through the gate of the table tennis table, into the ceramic and Chinese classical furniture filled the living room, with us shook hands, greeting, smiling, soft-spoken, but chatted chatted, his enthusiasm began to slowly heat up – exaggerated gestures, hearty laugh, voluble. For sensitive issues, not avoid, but also acts very carefully – not only on behalf of the U.S. position, without losing the personal touch.
Barack Obama has a small regret
“International Herald Tribune”: This is not the first time we met in August last year, you became Ambassador, is also the ambassador’s residence, brought his wife, held her first media appearance, and your accompanying tour the Great Wall and Forbidden City Obama .
Huntsman: (laughs) Yes, very cold day. Obama was wearing that jacket has become famous (an American clothing company visit the Great Wall with Obama’s picture in the streets of New York to do jacket advertising – Editor’s Note).
Q: That visit, the Chinese people the deepest impression is that Obama, under an umbrella of aircraft scene.
A: President Obama who has a strong humanistic feelings. He is not artificial, it is simple, with and ability to deal with all levels of society. The United States have a saying: WYSIWYG. Obama is indeed a “real thing.” Many Chinese also see the U.S. president is a true leader, He was sincere, caring people, great importance to US-China relations. His trip to China, is to learn, is to create a deep and rich US-China relations, Sino-US relations is to establish a framework for the future. Obama believes that US-China relations is the world’s most important bilateral relationship.
Q: Obama’s visit have any regrets, what could be better?
A: what could be better?
Q: Is access to perfect?
A: I think the visit very successful. In the U.S., we tend to find fault, and believe that something could be better.
Q: We journalists are inclined to find fault, so would like to know what is perfect?
A: I have a proposal that, should go to some of Beijing alley, try the roadside stalls selling meat pie. (In Chinese) I like to eat the meat pie, very cheap and delicious. I think this is the only increase in worth to the Obama visit to China project.
Obama knew the importance of US-China relations
Q: now that Obama has been in power a year, do you think the development of Sino-US relations is the biggest highlight of what?
A: US-China relations into the trust. This is a difficult task, Obama did. I can not forget that in the past year, US-China relations President Obama to take time. Obama met with Chinese President Hu Jintao showed great interest. Over the past year, they met many times, many times through phone. It is this interaction based on trust, we can together do something beneficial to bilateral relations, lasting and meaningful work with.
From the first day into the White House, President Obama would know the importance of US-China relations, and recognizes the need to build a positive relationship of comprehensive cooperation. In order to achieve this, only the development of a trust-based relations of friendship and strong. I think, from the US-China relations, Obama’s performance in the first year can be high scores. Because he has a positive relationship of comprehensive cooperation will be positive actions of our other talents.
Of course, there are also differences between our two countries, which are a natural thing. If Obama did not give priority to developing relations with China, this first year may have passed on little fanfare, left no imprint. However, the reality is, this year we have created a good pattern of US-China relations. The new year has begun. I predict 2010 will be a US-China relations the most important year in history.
Q: Why is the history of US-China relations the most important one?
A: This year is too important. Economic, security, nuclear non-proliferation, environmental and climate change issues, the United States must act together. In the past, has never been so many important issues affecting the global needs of the U.S. and China for a solution. Now, any important global one, in fact depends on the United States and China. Of course, many countries are involved in the process of resolving these issues, but really to act, the United States and views are critical. I hope that by the end of this year, we can be proud that we achieved our goal. Because the cooperation of the United States and the world a better, safer and cleaner. This is not just a vision. Obama and President Hu Jintao know all this can be achieved.
Most need to improve military relations
Q: In fact, the beginning has been a challenge. January 6, the U.S. government approved the new arms sales plan, I know Americans stand point, think it normal, but stood on the position of the Chinese people feel that this is interference in China’s internal affairs, you can understand the Chinese people heart?
A: I understand the feelings of Chinese people for 30 years. 30 years ago, the United States enacted the “Taiwan Relations Act,” the issue of arms sales to Taiwan to play an important role in the United States Congress enacted the law. Despite the continuation of the past 30 years has been selling weapons to Taiwan, the United States or establishing a relatively strong bilateral relations. Despite the differences between the two countries in some areas, but rolling the wheel of history move forward, or in the growth and development of bilateral relations. Now a very important point is that Taiwan and the mainland during the dialogue, this dialogue implies a re-assurance, not only for the region, but also the whole world. I congratulated China on the progress made in this regard. This is a historic dialogue, will peace and stability in cross-strait relations and significant impact on economic prosperity.
Q: Can you predict that when the issue of arms sales to Taiwan can be resolved?
A: No, I can not predict.
Q: Just a week after the U.S. announced arms sales to Taiwan, China announced the success of a land-based anti-missile interception technology is the middle of the United States what is the matter of concern?
A: For these tests, our concern is: What is the nature? Test how much success? Intentions? The ultimate goal? These are benign military relations should answer the question. This is why I stress the development of significant US-China military relations reasons. But the reality is that US-China relations is the most room for improvement in military relations. Because, if there are problems, the first is the destruction of military relations, military exchanges with breaks, military officials do not dialogue, both sides are likely to prepare for the worst. Human nature dictates that, if there is no communication, it is easy to make for the worst. So, if military leaders are not talking, of course we can not discuss military confidence-building measure, maritime security, freedom of navigation, but also can not talk about the defense budget and its use, even can not talk about anti-missile test, so we both will be the worst idea outcome, but this is completely unnecessary.
Google should be able to solve their own problems
Q: cancel meeting with the Dalai Lama last fall, Obama, Barack Obama this year, intend to meet with the Dalai Lama? What factors will influence Obama’s decision? Your recommendations to the President of what?
A: you these questions to the corner of my block! (Laughs) In this issue, I would not recommend to the President. I believe that Obama knows how to do it. I think that Obama will be like in the past 23 years served as the U.S. President met with the Dalai Lama. I think he would pick a good time. In fact, as a Senator, Obama also met with the Dalai Lama.
Q: You usually visit the Chinese version of Google it?
A: Yes.
Q: If Google asked you, what should China adopt strategic measures, what is your suggestion?
A: Fortunately, Google does not ask me, so I do not worry about what advice they give. I find it very important that Google should be able to solve their own problems without U.S. government intervention. I think Google and the Chinese side on, they will make a lot of effort. Speaking of recommendations, in my opinion, a company should adhere to their own corporate values, regardless of what the corporate values should be consistent. Of course, the interests of investors, the product is very important to the interests of consumers. Therefore, when making decisions must take into account these factors.
Our system is not advantageous than you
Q: I noticed this table decorated with your adopted daughter in China, Yang happy photos. You once said that he hoped the two countries she later became a special ambassador, you want her on how to help eliminate the gap between the United States do?
A: gap does exist, because the mutual understanding between the U.S. and the channel is not enough. Pacific is very broad, the distance between the two countries will also be more serious misunderstanding. Distance between China, we focus the past several generations in Europe. My parents, grandparents living is the case, trade, investment and cultural ties, etc. are derived from Europe, but Yang happy and her generation, the key will be in Asia, more precisely, in China.
She will listen to Chinese pop songs, Chinese movies, in our generation has never experienced them. But in the future, the world will quickly change. Young happy to be a link, and tell you that she has five thousand years of history for China’s understanding of civilization, and to encourage Chinese people to understand our tradition of the United States almost 250 years.
One is the Confucius-style view of the world, the other is Jeffersonian-style view of the world. Each person’s role in society is different, the resulting problems are different, we often confuse these. We often talk about cultural conflict, such as our system is superior and so on. In fact, we really need to do is, to each other have a better understanding of the system. In this regard, Yang will be happy to become a great ambassador, I have no doubt. Then, an ordinary Chinese people will say: “I know who they are, I understand their culture, I understand and accept what they do.” Similarly, Americans will understand Chinese. When everyone has had an exchange of understanding, peace and true harmony will result, which is making history for her generation the greatest thing.
[Jon Huntsman resume] English name: Jon Huntsman
March 26, 1960, was born in California
In 1984, the White House as Assistant to President Reagan
In 1987, at the University of Pennsylvania Wharton Business School
1992-1993, as U.S. Ambassador to Singapore
In 2001, as the U.S. Deputy Trade Representative
In January 2005 as Utah governor
November 2008, re-elected governor of Utah
May 16, 2009, the U.S. ambassador nomination
August 22, 2009, assumed office in China
Every move the United States are affecting the world situation and the future of mankind. The picture shows the December 14, 2009, Copenhagen climate conference hall, environmentalists, hand-held printed Obama posters and other leaders, urged them to take action. Reporter
Xie Xiudong / photo
Sino-US and anti-manipulation manipulation
[Author] DU
In the U.S. self-contradictory policy, not the smooth development of Sino-US relations, but on the other hand, there is help to maintain the basic balance of bilateral relations. This is the most important feature of Sino-US relations today is the biggest features of the future international order
“International Herald Tribune” article
Obama’s first year as the government’s China policy and behavior, can be said that positive and negative cross. Positive, this is to change the beginning of the previous administration’s China policy must subvert the practice of the previous government, so that relations between the two countries to weather the transition; the negative in the sense that there is no habit of thinking out of the constraints, in some important and sensitive issues are too conservative.
As individuals, Obama’s humility in international exchanges refreshing attitude, some words and deeds of critically acclaimed, but the United States, after all, is the world’s hegemon. As the will of the state’s highest representative, the Obama administration’s global strategic objective is to maintain and exercise the dominant power, its international behavior mentality is still with the Empire. Once a country seen as rivals or threats, the United States will generate awareness of instinct, and then to prevent or contain.
In the eyes of American strategists, the most able to challenge its dominant position, the contacts in China to prevent and contain the intention of never giving up. Obama took office, the U.S. attitude toward China has many adjustments, but major practical interest in the issue, especially in the economic and trade affairs, often reveal the nature of Empire.
One of the main features of imperial nature, is trying to control his country’s policy, in order to maximize their own interests, then the continuous expansion of its global influence of capital. Early imperialism is by controlling the sea and other trade and transport lines, and even direct military means to force other countries to give up economic sovereignty to allow for commercial interests. In the current era of globalization, empire in less violent behavior, but the manipulation of the nature of his country’s policy has not changed.
In recent years, the United States attempting to dominate many examples of Chinese economic and trade policies, while the RMB exchange rate policy is the biggest target. Especially after the financial crisis, the U.S. economic situation deteriorated, unemployment rate to rise, boosted by protectionist momentum. In the various political forces and interest groups pushed the U.S. control of the Chinese economic and trade policies have increased the demand and sense of urgency.
First, through the legislative process and executive orders to curb imports of Chinese products. For example, several members of Congress introduce bills, want to levy punitive tariffs on Chinese products; Obama successive presidential executive order issued on several products in China to impose high anti-dumping tax.
Second, try to change China’s financial and trade policies, to reverse the U.S. trade deficit suffered long-term situation. For example, the U.S. political, business, media and academia echo each other and jointly put pressure on China in an attempt to force revaluation of the RMB.
Third, the banner name of its international obligations, including the response to global climate change as an excuse, we need to impose on some of China’s “carbon tariff.” Its declared purpose is to punish Chinese companies refused to reduce emissions, but actually to curb competition and all sorts of pretexts.
In short, in order to correct the trade imbalance excuse to force revaluation of the RMB with the aim of transferring part of the forced Chinese financial sovereignty; to make climate change an excuse for levying a “carbon tariff”, aimed at undermining China’s manufacturing and industrialization process.
The United States has advocated respect for market forces to promote free and fair trade, but when market forces and free trade became unfavorable, political intervention will follow. Age of Empires in the early law of the jungle, the European powers on to a double standard to force opponents into submission. Integration in the era of trade rules, such behavior continues.
Of course, any capital can not do without government support the operation of the market will inevitably be non-economic levers behind at work. But the United States and the frequent use of such high-profile political force to intervene in international trade, it is unmatched in other countries.
However, with the former empire to maintain the geographic advantage and balance of power compared to the United States in international economic affairs and long-term maintenance of a dominant position, its much more difficult. In China and the U.S., cut right and chaotic relationship between the interests of disputes will make the U.S. more and more difficult arbitrary. The reason why the United States so far not succeeded in forcing China to change its exchange rate policy, not through a variety of restrictive measures to reverse the trade deficit situation, the reason is that complex relations between the interests of both sides.
The United States has sufficient strength to the Chinese cause harm, but lack of political commitment. China is a more important economy, there is enough anti-manipulation capabilities, but also have the ability to harm the United States. In the long run, China’s rapidly growing hegemony of the United States may pose a challenge, but since this process can not stop, the United States to profit and avoid loss. The only option is to maintain the policy of self-contradictory approach to balance: to make it possible to contain China, to weaken the momentum from behind, while also respecting its steady development, the U.S. capital in the Chinese market to maximize the profit.
In this contradictory policy, not the smooth development of Sino-US relations, but on the other hand, there is help to maintain the basic balance of bilateral relations. This is the most important feature of Sino-US relations today is the biggest features of the future international order.
Obama to visit Asia several times late last year reiterated that the U.S. hopes that China’s stability and prosperity in world affairs to play a more important role. This is the U.S. government’s relations with China on many occasions publicly stated principles, but need to understand from two angles. First, the remark is not false, because the U.S. does more stable and prosperous China can not be separated; Second, the remark was not completely honest, because the United States hopes that China will not be strong enough to replace the point. This ambivalence means that the U.S. will continue to attempt to control China, they must do to prepare anti-manipulation. (Writer is Singapore’s “Lianhe Zaobao,” commentator)
